METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Jackson
47%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raoni BarceloswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Montel Jackson · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Barcelos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 53% vs Barcelos at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Barcelos has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonBarcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
48.8
53.4
Performance Avg
47.9
41
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
63
Jackson
Barcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.4
Style: Volume
6.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Jackson
Barcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/19 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Jackson
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
63
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Barcelos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
JacksonBarcelos
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBarcelos
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (88% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jackson · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ricky SimonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Barcelos · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Raul Rosas Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01