Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Las Vegas, USA

10 Oct 2026

Women's Bantamweight

66%

Pereira

34%

Zhelezniakova

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 5:00

Alice Pereira

"Golden Girl"

7 – 1

5'8"71" reachOrthodox20 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 70

Daria Zhelezniakova

"Iron Lady"

10 – 3

Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"

CFR 36

★ Official Result

Alice PereirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 5:00

def. Daria Zhelezniakova · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pereira

Pereira by KO/TKO in round two — Zhelezniakova banks the first on activity, then…

→

Actual result

Pereira wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

A 20-year-old with a perfect ten for striking against a fighter who throws nine times as much and has never finished anyone.

There is a shared opponent buried in these two files, and it frames the whole fight. Daria Zhelezniakova beat Montse Rendon by decision in March 2024. Rendon then beat Alice Pereira by decision in September 2025. That is one data point and it is transitive in the laziest possible way, but it points at the same thing every other number in the pack points at: Pereira's problem is fifteen minutes, an…

Pereira intel

Pereira (7-1) is 20 and has two recorded UFC fights: a decision loss to Montse Rendon in September 2025 and a second-round knockout of Hailey Cowan at 4:24 in April. Maximum 10.0 striking, 8.5 pressure, 98.0 chin rating and a 1.00 finish rate, all drawn from that two-fight sample. Her 0.0 grappling, wrestling and submission scores are the obvious hole.

Zhelezniakova intel

Zhelezniakova (10-3) is 30 with four recorded UFC fights and a 0.00 finish rate — every win a decision, over Melissa Mullins in June 2025 and Montse Rendon in March 2024. She lost to Melissa Croden on the cards in April and was submitted by Ailin Perez in 3:52 in September 2024. Her 9.0 volume score is the highest on this card; her 25.0 quality-of-victory is among the lowest.

Key angles

A 9.0 volume score against a 1.00 — the widest output gap on the card

Montse Rendon beat Pereira in September 2025 and lost to Zhelezniakova in March 2024

Pereira's 0.0 grappling, wrestling and submission against an opponent whose only route is control and activity

Zhelezniakova's 0.00 finish rate: she has to win rounds without ever threatening to end it

Two recorded UFC fights for a 20-year-old — the 61.3 composite rests on one knockout

Risk flags

Rendon has already shown that out-pointing Pereira over three rounds works, and Zhelezniakova's 9.0 volume is built for exactly that

Pereira's two-fight sample makes the 10.0 striking score more a description of one night than a settled rating

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PereiraZhelezniakova

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'9"

71"+

Reach

68"

20+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

69.8

35.7

61.2

Performance Avg

31.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

10.0

/ 10

0.8

/ 10

9.0

Style: Pressure

1.2

1.3

Style: Volume

8.8

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance6

1Clinch0

14Ground0

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

3/8 fights

Chin rating based on

5/13 fights

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pereira

Zhelezniakova

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.8

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

9.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.2

1.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.8

Pereira

Strike Zones

Zhelezniakova

Pereira

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Zhelezniakova

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Pereira targets the head (90% of attacks) — Zhelezniakova absorbs 90% of strikes there

🎯Zhelezniakova targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pereira

RND

Zhelezniakova

0/0R00/0

Pereira · Last 3

W · KO · R1

Daria Zhelezniakova

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · KO · R2

Hailey Cowan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

L · Dec · R3

Montse Rendon

Decision

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

Zhelezniakova · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Alice Pereira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

L · Dec · R3

Melissa Croden

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Melissa Mullins

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

L · Sub · R1

Ailin Perez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

W · Dec · R3

Montse Rendon

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Alice Pereira · Daria Zhelezniakova

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