METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
41%
Naurdiev
59%
Loder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:26
★ Official Result
Ismail NaurdievwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:26
def. Ryan Loder · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Loder
→
Actual result
Naurdiev wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Naurdiev at 41% vs Loder at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Loder has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 68 points.
Risk flags
Loder has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NaurdievLoder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Naurdiev
Loder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Naurdiev
Loder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
70.5
44.2
Performance Avg
73.3
32
Quality of Victory
100
60
Momentum Score
43
Naurdiev
Loder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
7.7
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Naurdiev
Loder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naurdiev
Loder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Naurdiev
Loder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Naurdiev
Loder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naurdiev
Loder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NaurdievLoder
Strike Zones
Naurdiev
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLoder
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naurdiev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Loder absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Loder targets the head (100% of attacks) — Naurdiev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naurdiev
RND
Loder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Naurdiev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Ryan LoderKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Loder · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Ismail NaurdievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Azamat BekoevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R2
Robert ValentinKO/TKO
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