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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Arce
57%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julio
Julio Arce
19 – 6
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Daniel
Daniel Santos
"Willycat"
14 – 3
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 55
★ Official Result
Julio ArcewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Santos · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Arce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Arce at 43% vs Santos at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ArceSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arce
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Arce
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
54.6
49.5
Performance Avg
50.8
43
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
71
Arce
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.9
3.9
Style: Volume
6.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
8
9
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
47Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Arce
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arce
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Arce
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
71
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Arce
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arce
Santos
Striking6.2 / 5.4Volume3.9 / 6.2Grappling2.1 / 1.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Arce
Strike Zones
Santos
Arce
Attacking
38HEAD9BODY0LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD9BODY0LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (81% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (57% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arce
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Arce · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Herbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Montel Jackson
Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Santos
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Song Yadong
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · KO · R2
Andre Ewell
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Bolaji Oki
Decision
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
JooSang Yoo
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
JeongYeong Lee
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Johnny Munoz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

News & Media

Julio Arce · Daniel Santos
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