METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Minneapolis, USA
9 Aug 2008
Middleweight
VS
54%
Maia
46%
MacDonald
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR3 · 2:44
def. Jason MacDonald · UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 54% vs MacDonald at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaMacDonald
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
48+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
17.3
50.8
Performance Avg
48.8
40
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
52
Maia
MacDonald
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
8.3
5.0
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground1
Maia
MacDonald
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
11
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
14/41 fights
Maia
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Maia
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MaiaMacDonald
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryKO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04