METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Jr.
44%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Christian RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Raul Rosas Jr. · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 56% vs Rodriguez at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Jr.Rodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jr.
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+71"
22+
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.8
55.0
59.7
Performance Avg
44.8
41
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
90
Jr.
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
4.1
5.2
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
23
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Jr.
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Jr.
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
90
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Jr.
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Jr.Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Jr. · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Raoni BarcelosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Rob FontDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
AoriqilengDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R2
Ricky TurciosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Hyder AmilSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07