METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Both have won their last fight, both rate 98 on the chin, and both beat Fernie Garcia — the only man either of them has in common.
Two years ago Fernie Garcia lost a decision to Rinya Nakamura. A year before that he lost a decision to Brady Hiestand. He rates 4.3, so the shared opponent tells you almost nothing except that both men do the same thing to fighters they should beat: they win the rounds and they do not panic. Nakamura is the higher-rated of the two at 69.9, and the résumé is the reason. He beat Carlos Vera, rated…
Hiestand (9-2) has not competed since submitting Garrett Armfield in the third round in June 2024 — twenty-seven months out. He is 3-1 in recorded fights, the single defeat a decision to Ricky Turcios in August 2021. His 3.33 submission score is the highest figure in this bout.
Nakamura (10-1) knocked out Nathan Fletcher in sixty-two seconds in August 2025, his most recent outing. His only defeat is a decision to Muin Gafurov — rated 32.5 — in January 2025. A 52.5 quality-of-victory leads this bout comfortably.
Hiestand's 3.33 submission score against Nakamura's 0.00
Twenty-seven months out of the cage for Hiestand
Nakamura's loss to a 32.5-rated Muin Gafurov, the blemish on an otherwise clean file
7.6cm of reach for Hiestand against a southpaw
Both of Hiestand's finishes came in the third round — he builds rather than blitzes
Hiestand's ratings are more than two years old and nothing has tested them since
Nakamura's 62-second finish of Fletcher shows this can be over before the grappling ever starts
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown