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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
41%
Zellhuber
59%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
15 – 4
6'1"77" reachSwitch27 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Esteban
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
16 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 60
★ Official Result
Esteban RibovicswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Zellhuber · UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ribovics
→
Actual result
Ribovics wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 41% vs Ribovics at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ZellhuberRibovics
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
69"
27+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
60.4
37.0
Performance Avg
51.7
33
Quality of Victory
42
55
Momentum Score
88
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.5
6.2
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
73
6
Body
14
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
41Distance90
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zellhuber
Ribovics
Striking0.9 / 6.3Volume6.2 / 5.3Grappling4.3 / 1.2Wrestling3.0 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Zellhuber
Strike Zones
Ribovics
Zellhuber
Attacking
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
73HEAD14BODY5LEGS92 absorbed
Ribovics
Attacking
73HEAD14BODY5LEGS92 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (79% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zellhuber
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael Johnson
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban Ribovics
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco Prado
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos Giagos
Submission
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Ribovics · Last 5

W · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R2
Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Mateusz Gamrot
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves Brener
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat Haqparast
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Daniel Zellhuber · Esteban Ribovics
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