METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
44%
Cerminara
56%
Fiorot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Manon FiorotwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Katlyn Cerminara · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fiorot
→
Actual result
Fiorot wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 44% vs Fiorot at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fiorot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraFiorot
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Fiorot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Fiorot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
62.5
43.4
Performance Avg
56.8
28
Quality of Victory
41
88
Momentum Score
84
Cerminara
Fiorot
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
8.7
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
11
Body
5
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance24
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Cerminara
Fiorot
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Fiorot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Cerminara
Fiorot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
84
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Fiorot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
8%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Fiorot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
CerminaraFiorot
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedFiorot
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (39% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Fiorot targets the head (54% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Fiorot
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mackenzie StillerKO/TKO
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