METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Two lightweights on long losing runs, but they lose in completely different ways — one on the cards, the other on the canvas.
Both men arrive in a bad place, and the interesting thing is that they got there by opposite routes. Francisco Prado has lost four in a row and heard the final bell in every one of them. Ismael Bonfim has lost three of his last four and been finished in two of them, one of them in 4:44 and one in 4:30. That is the fight. Prado's chin rating of 90.0 against Bonfim's 52.0 is the widest meaningful g…
Prado (12-5) is 24 and has lost four consecutively, all by decision — Radtke in April, Veretennikov last July, Matthews in February 2025 and Zellhuber in February 2024, three of them contested at welterweight. His last win was a first-round knockout of Ottman Azaitar in July 2023. The 90.0 chin rating and the 0.33 volume score are the two numbers that define him.
Bonfim (20-6) is 30 and has won once in his last five — a decision over Vinc Pichel in May 2024. Since then Nazim Sadykhov, Chris Padilla and Axel Sola have all beaten him, the latter two by stoppage. A 52.0 chin rating on six recorded UFC fights is the flag, and the Sola submission at 4:44 in July was the most recent evidence for it.
Prado's 0.33 volume score against a fighter who throws at 4.67 — can he win rounds he barely contests?
Bonfim's 52.0 chin rating against a man whose only win in five is a first-round knockout
Prado's 0.0 across grappling, wrestling and submission — no recorded answer if this hits the floor
Bonfim's five-centimetre reach edge at five centimetres shorter, and what that does to the jab exchange
Four straight decision losses for Prado: the model has never seen him take a close round
Prado has not won since July 2023; a 90.0 chin rating is worth nothing if he keeps throwing 0.33 volume and losing every round on activity
Bonfim's 4.67 volume and slight grappling edge are exactly the tools that beat Prado four times running — this could be a fifth decision on the same script
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown