METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Volkov
52%
Acosta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Waldo Cortes Acosta · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Acosta
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 48% vs Acosta at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkovAcosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkov
Acosta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Acosta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
64.4
54.6
Performance Avg
53.5
41
Quality of Victory
42
88
Momentum Score
100
Volkov
Acosta
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
6.4
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.6
5.8
Style: Volume
5.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
8
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Volkov
Acosta
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Acosta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/51 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Volkov
Acosta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Volkov
Acosta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Acosta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
VolkovAcosta
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedAcosta
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the body (38% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Acosta targets the head (88% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Acosta
0/0R00/0
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievDecision
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaDecision
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Acosta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
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