METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Lightweight
VS
67%
Padilla
33%
Bonfim
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
★ Official Result
Chris PadillawinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:30
def. Ismael Bonfim · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Padilla
→
Actual result
Padilla wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Padilla holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bonfim has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PadillaBonfim
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Padilla
Bonfim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Bonfim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.0
35.3
64.8
Performance Avg
35.4
41
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
30
Padilla
Bonfim
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.6
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
18
6
Body
8
16
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance28
4Clinch0
15Ground0
Padilla
Bonfim
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Bonfim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
30
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Padilla
Bonfim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Padilla
Bonfim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Padilla
Bonfim
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PadillaBonfim
Strike Zones
Padilla
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedBonfim
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Padilla targets the head (53% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bonfim targets the head (64% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Padilla
RND
Bonfim
0/0R00/0
Padilla · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Nasrat HaqparastSubmission
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Bonfim · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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