METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Flyweight
VS
41%
Figueiredo
59%
Morales
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:34
★ Official Result
Deiveson FigueiredowinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:34
def. Joseph Morales · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Figueiredo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Figueiredo at 41% vs Morales at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Figueiredo's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FigueiredoMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Figueiredo
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Figueiredo
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.9
73.2
54.8
Performance Avg
61.6
49
Quality of Victory
69
55
Momentum Score
98
Figueiredo
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.7
Style: Volume
1.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Figueiredo
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Figueiredo
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Figueiredo
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Figueiredo
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
FigueiredoMorales
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMorales
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (43% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Figueiredo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Payton TalbottKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Sub · R2
Song YadongSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoDecision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Alibi IdirisSubmission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Eric SheltonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02