METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Glendale, USA
12 Sept 2026
Featherweight
VS
50%
McMillen
50%
Rahiki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tommy
Tommy McMillen
"Gun"
10 – 0
6'0"74" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 74
Marwan
Marwan Rahiki
"Freaky"
9 – 0
Knockout Artist24 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"
CFR 73
★ Official Result
Tommy McMillenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marwan Rahiki · Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMillen
Rahiki by KO/TKO in round two — two finishers with 2.00 volume scores meeting in…
→
Actual result
McMillen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Two unbeaten featherweights, four promotional fights between them, four knockouts, and almost no evidence about what either does after that.

The two highest composite ratings in this pack belong to fighters with two recorded promotional appearances each, and it is worth saying at the top that neither number should be trusted. Tommy McMillen sits at 80.7, Marwan Rahiki at 81.7, and the reason both are so high is that all four of their recorded fights ended in knockouts they scored. The style profiles are not similar, they are identical…

McMillen intel

McMillen (10-0) has two recorded promotional fights, both knockouts: Alberto Montes in the third round in July and Manolo Zecchini in the first in April. At 28 and 182.9cm he is the taller man by ten centimetres. His 80.7 composite and 100.0 chin rating rest on those two appearances and nothing else.

Rahiki intel

Rahiki (9-0) also has two recorded fights, both knockouts: Ollie Schmid in under three minutes in May and Harry Hardwick in the second round in March. He is 24, the youngest man on the card by four years, with a 57.5 quality-of-victory that is fractionally the better of the two. Everything about him beyond those two nights is unrecorded.

Key angles

Two composites a point apart with byte-for-byte identical style profiles — the model cannot separate them

Ten centimetres of height and five of reach for McMillen

Four recorded promotional fights between them, all knockouts they scored

Zero recorded grappling data for either man

Neither has been out of the third round at this level, so both 100.0 chin ratings are untested

Risk flags

Both ratings rest on two fights; either composite could be overstated by twenty points and nothing in the pack would reveal it

McMillen's reach and height edge is the only concrete advantage in the bout, and it argues against the pick

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
McMillenRahiki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMillen
Rahiki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
72"
28
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMillen
Rahiki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.0
73.3
67.0
Performance Avg
61.2
45
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
95
McMillen
Rahiki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
9.0
4.7
Style: Volume
1.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
5
6
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance7
5Clinch3
2Ground0
McMillen
Rahiki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMillen
Rahiki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
McMillen
Rahiki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
95
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
McMillen
Rahiki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McMillen
Rahiki
Striking8.7 / 10.0Volume4.7 / 1.3Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
McMillen
Strike Zones
Rahiki
McMillen
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Rahiki
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McMillen targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rahiki absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rahiki targets the head (50% of attacks) — McMillen absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McMillen
RND
Rahiki
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

McMillen · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Marwan Rahiki
Decision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · KO · R3
Alberto Montes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Manolo Zecchini
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

Rahiki · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Tommy McMillen
Decision
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Ollie Schmid
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Harry Hardwick
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03

News & Media

Tommy McMillen · Marwan Rahiki
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