Geoff Neal vs Rafael Dos Anjos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

26 Oct 2024

Welterweight

57%

Neal

43%

Anjos

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:30

Geoff Neal

"Handz of Steel"

16 – 8

5'11"75" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 56

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"

CFR 43

★ Official Result

Geoff NealwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:30

def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Neal

→

Actual result

Neal wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Neal at 57% vs Anjos at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NealAnjos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Neal

Anjos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'8"

75"+

Reach

70"

36+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

Neal

Anjos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.8

42.8

51.7

Performance Avg

47.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Neal

Anjos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

7.0

Style: Pressure

4.7

3.1

Style: Volume

5.7

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

13Distance4

0Clinch0

5Ground0

Neal

Anjos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.6

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.3

1.3

Submission Style (/10)

2.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Neal

Anjos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.4 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/24 fights

Chin rating based on

37/49 fights

Neal

Anjos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Neal

Anjos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

43%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neal

Anjos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.0

1.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.3

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.3

1.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.4

7.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.7

3.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.7

Neal

Strike Zones

Anjos

Neal

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Anjos

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Neal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neal

RND

Anjos

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Neal · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Uros Medic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · KO · R1

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · KO · R1

Rafael Dos Anjos

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

L · Sub · R3

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Submission

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Alexander Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

News & Media

Geoff Neal · Rafael Dos Anjos

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