METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Featherweight
VS
54%
Allen
46%
Evloev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Movsar EvloevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Arnold Allen · UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Evloev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 54% vs Evloev at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AllenEvloev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Allen
Evloev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+72"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Evloev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
54.0
52.8
Performance Avg
51.4
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
85
Allen
Evloev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
2.7
6.9
Style: Volume
9.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
9
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance15
4Clinch2
4Ground0
Allen
Evloev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Evloev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Allen
Evloev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Allen
Evloev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Allen
Evloev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.8
AllenEvloev
Strike Zones
Allen
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedEvloev
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (66% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Evloev targets the head (65% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Allen
RND
Evloev
0/0R00/0
Allen · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Evloev · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05