Jared Cannonier vs Derek Brunson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Houston, USA

12 Feb 2022

Middleweight

65%

Cannonier

35%

Brunson

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 4:29

Jared Cannonier

"The Killa Gorilla"

18 – 10

5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 54

Derek Brunson

"The One"

23 – 9

Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"

CFR 29

★ Official Result

Jared CannonierwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:29

def. Derek Brunson · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Cannonier

→

Actual result

Cannonier wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Cannonier holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Brunson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CannonierBrunson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cannonier

Brunson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

+6'1"

77"

Reach

77"

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

Cannonier

Brunson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

53.5

29.4

48.2

Performance Avg

54.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cannonier

Brunson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.4

/ 10

6.3

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

6.5

4.0

Style: Volume

4.2

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

29Distance23

5Clinch0

5Ground0

Cannonier

Brunson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

2.0

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cannonier

Brunson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

22/28 fights

Chin rating based on

21/32 fights

Cannonier

Brunson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R4

L · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

Cannonier

Brunson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

64%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier

Brunson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.3

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.0

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.4

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.5

4.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.2

Cannonier

Strike Zones

Brunson

Cannonier

Attacking

39 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Brunson

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

39 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cannonier targets the head (74% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 74% of strikes there

🎯Brunson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier

RND

Brunson

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Cannonier · Last 5

Upcoming

Ikram Aliskerov

UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling · 2026-11

L · Dec · R3

Christian Leroy Duncan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

L · Dec · R3

Michael Page

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · KO · R4

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

L · Dec · R5

Caio Borralho

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Dricus Du Plessis

KO/TKO

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

L · KO · R2

Jared Cannonier

KO/TKO

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

W · Sub · R3

Darren Till

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09

W · Dec · R5

Kevin Holland

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03

W · KO · R3

Edmen Shahbazyan

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Derek Brunson

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