METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Flyweight
VS
50%
Moreno
50%
Kara-France
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brandon MorenowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kai Kara-France · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moreno
→
Actual result
Moreno wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 50% vs Kara-France at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kara-France has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorenoKara-France
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moreno
Kara-France
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
69"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Kara-France
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.2
52.5
52.2
Performance Avg
47.5
45
Quality of Victory
38
54
Momentum Score
80
Moreno
Kara-France
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.3
Style: Volume
6.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
19
5
Body
4
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
34Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moreno
Kara-France
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moreno
Kara-France
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Moreno
Kara-France
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
80
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Moreno
Kara-France
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
38%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreno
Kara-France
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
MorenoKara-France
Strike Zones
Moreno
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedKara-France
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (85% of attacks) — Kara-France absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Kara-France targets the head (66% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreno
RND
Kara-France
0/0R00/0
Moreno · Last 5
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