METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2026
Lightweight
VS
92%
Brener
8%
Harrell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:14
Elves
Elves Brener
16 – 6
5'10"72" reachOrthodox29 yrsStriker
CFR 55
Josiah
Josiah Harrell
"The Muscle Hamster"
11 – 1
Well-Rounded2-fight slide27 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 5
★ Official Result
Elves BrenerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:14
def. Josiah Harrell · UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brener
Brener by decision — the reach and the measurable record win a fight neither man…
→
Actual result
Brener wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Harrell is 11-1 as a professional and the database knows one thing about him: he got knocked out in three minutes by the best man he has faced.

Josiah Harrell is 11-1 as a professional and the database holds exactly one of those fights: a first-round knockout loss to Jacobe Smith in February, at welterweight. Smith rates 81.3, which is a serious number, and Harrell lasted three minutes. That single data point is responsible for his 6.2 composite rating, his 0.0 quality-of-victory, his 0.0 momentum score and the row of zeroes across every …

Brener intel

Harrell (11-1) has one recorded UFC fight — a first-round TKO defeat to Jacobe Smith, rated 81.3, in February at welterweight. Every rating he carries derives from that one appearance, including a 6.2 composite and 0.0 momentum, and none of it should be read as a settled assessment.

Harrell intel

Brener (16-6) is 3-3 in recorded fights and has lost his last three — to Ribovics in August 2025, Alvarez by third-round TKO in August 2024, and Orolbai in May 2024. His last win was a first-round knockout in November 2023.

Key angles

One recorded UFC fight on Harrell, and it lasted three minutes

Brener has not won since November 2023 — three straight defeats

10.2cm of reach for Brener against a southpaw

Brener's 0.00 submission score and 0.56 wrestling — no answer if this hits the mat

Both men carry chin ratings in the seventies with stoppage losses on record

Risk flags

Harrell's 6.2 composite is an artefact of an almost empty file and probably understates him badly

Brener's three-fight skid means a fourth loss likely ends his run at this level, which cuts both ways

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BrenerHarrell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brener
Harrell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
68"
29
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brener
Harrell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
4.5
52.1
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Brener
Harrell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.1
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
5
Body
2
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance9
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Brener
Harrell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brener
Harrell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Brener
Harrell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Brener
Harrell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brener
Harrell
Striking8.6 / 0.0Volume3.1 / 0.0Grappling0.6 / 0.0Wrestling0.4 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Brener
Strike Zones
Harrell
Brener
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY9LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Harrell
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY9LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brener targets the head (44% of attacks) — Harrell absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Harrell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brener
RND
Harrell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brener · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Josiah Harrell
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Esteban Ribovics
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel Alvarez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek Orolbai
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan Kruschewsky
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Harrell · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Elves Brener
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Jacobe Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

News & Media

Elves Brener · Josiah Harrell
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours