METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
37%
Arlovski
63%
Aspinall
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:09
★ Official Result
Tom AspinallwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:09
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aspinall
→
Actual result
Aspinall wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Aspinall holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Arlovski has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aspinall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiAspinall
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Aspinall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Aspinall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
83.0
50.5
Performance Avg
77.7
47
Quality of Victory
70
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Aspinall
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
9.7
5.3
Style: Volume
1.8
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Aspinall
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Aspinall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Arlovski
Aspinall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Arlovski
Aspinall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Aspinall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.7
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
ArlovskiAspinall
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAspinall
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Aspinall absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Aspinall targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Aspinall
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Aspinall · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07