METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Machida
58%
Rua
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:35
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuawinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:35
def. Lyoto Machida · UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
→
Actual result
Rua wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 42% vs Rua at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rua has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MachidaRua
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Machida
Rua
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Rua
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
25.6
53.8
Performance Avg
49.7
45
Quality of Victory
51
78
Momentum Score
46
Machida
Rua
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.5
5.3
Style: Volume
3.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
3
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance7
3Clinch4
1Ground6
Machida
Rua
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Machida
Rua
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/41 fights
Machida
Rua
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Machida
Rua
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
73%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Machida
Rua
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MachidaRua
Strike Zones
Machida
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedRua
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rua targets the head (65% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Machida
RND
Rua
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11