METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Talbott
44%
Saaiman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
★ Official Result
Payton TalbottwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:21
def. Cameron Saaiman · UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Talbott
→
Actual result
Talbott wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Talbott at 56% vs Saaiman at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TalbottSaaiman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Talbott
Saaiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
28
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Talbott
Saaiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
54.3
61.3
Performance Avg
47.0
45
Quality of Victory
45
89
Momentum Score
75
Talbott
Saaiman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
6.2
4.4
Style: Volume
3.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Talbott
Saaiman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Talbott
Saaiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Talbott
Saaiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
75
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Talbott
Saaiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Talbott
Saaiman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
TalbottSaaiman
Strike Zones
Talbott
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSaaiman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Talbott
RND
Saaiman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Talbott · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Yanis GhemmouriKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Saaiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03