METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Featherweight
VS
49%
Santos
51%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JeongYeong Lee · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 49% vs Lee at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+73"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.6
56.2
50.8
Performance Avg
57.5
37
Quality of Victory
63
71
Momentum Score
61
Santos
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
1.5
6.2
Style: Volume
9.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance11
1Clinch2
1Ground0
Santos
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Santos
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
61
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
SantosLee
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLee
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (78% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (85% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
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