METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
42%
Tavares
58%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gerald Meerschaert · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 42% vs Meerschaert at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresMeerschaert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tavares
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
49.8
40.1
Performance Avg
47.5
29
Quality of Victory
50
49
Momentum Score
59
Tavares
Meerschaert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
8.3
8.1
Style: Volume
0.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Meerschaert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
9.2
0
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/34 fights
Chin rating based on
27/59 fights
Tavares
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Tavares
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
14
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
TavaresMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (50% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (57% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Tavares · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Gerald MeerschaertDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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Meerschaert · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
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Kyle DaukausSubmission
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Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04