METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 78: Validation
Newark, USA
17 Nov 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Evans
57%
Bisping
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michael Bisping · UFC 78: Validation
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bisping
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 43% vs Bisping at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bisping has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansBisping
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Bisping
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Bisping
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
20.5
53.1
Performance Avg
55.3
46
Quality of Victory
46
25
Momentum Score
100
Evans
Bisping
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
6.4
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.6
5.8
Style: Volume
5.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Evans
Bisping
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Bisping
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
29/39 fights
Evans
Bisping
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Evans
Bisping
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Bisping
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
EvansBisping
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBisping
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bisping targets the head (70% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Bisping
0/0R00/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Bisping · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreSubmission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonDecision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02