METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
67%
Barlow
33%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Djorden SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Barlow · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barlow
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barlow holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barlow has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarlowSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barlow
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
31
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Barlow
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
24.7
42.5
Performance Avg
25.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
17
Barlow
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.8
5.0
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
22
0
Body
2
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance26
0Clinch1
1Ground3
Barlow
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barlow
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Barlow
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
17
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barlow
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barlow
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BarlowSantos
Strike Zones
Barlow
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedSantos
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barlow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (73% of attacks) — Barlow absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barlow
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Barlow · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Djorden SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Josh QuinlanKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Santos · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Sub · R3
Baisangur SusurkaevSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny BarlowDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ozzy DiazDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03