METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Lightweight
VS
42%
Haqparast
58%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nasrat HaqparastwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Esteban Ribovics · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ribovics
→
Actual result
Haqparast wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 42% vs Ribovics at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ribovics has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Haqparast's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HaqparastRibovics
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Haqparast
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
60.4
43.9
Performance Avg
51.7
32
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
88
Haqparast
Ribovics
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
5.5
7.7
Style: Volume
5.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
39
7
Body
8
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
52Distance49
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Haqparast
Ribovics
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Haqparast
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Haqparast
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Haqparast
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Haqparast
Ribovics
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
HaqparastRibovics
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedRibovics
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (81% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (80% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Haqparast
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
Haqparast · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Chris PadillaSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Ribovics · Last 5
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03