METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
Shevchenko
44%
Cerminara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:03
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26 – 4
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Valentina ShevchenkowinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:03
def. Katlyn Cerminara · UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shevchenko
→
Actual result
Shevchenko wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 56% vs Cerminara at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Risk flags

Cerminara has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ShevchenkoCerminara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
48.7
66.4
Performance Avg
43.4
55
Quality of Victory
28
53
Momentum Score
88
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
2.6
6.5
Style: Volume
8.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
18/24 fights
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
88
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Cerminara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
8%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Cerminara
Striking4.3 / 2.2Volume6.5 / 8.7Grappling2.5 / 2.2Wrestling1.8 / 1.5Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Cerminara
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (94% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Cerminara targets the body (67% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Cerminara
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang Weili
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa Grasso
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Cerminara · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Mackenzie Stiller
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Maycee Barber
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda Ribas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Katlyn Cerminara
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