METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Heavyweight
VS
88%
Diniz
12%
Hines
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jhonata DinizwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alvin Hines · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diniz
→
Actual result
Diniz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diniz is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Diniz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DinizHines
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diniz
Hines
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diniz
Hines
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
6.1
41.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Diniz
Hines
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
26
1
Body
11
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
43Distance39
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Diniz
Hines
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diniz
Hines
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Diniz
Hines
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diniz
Hines
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diniz
Hines
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DinizHines
Strike Zones
Diniz
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedHines
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diniz targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hines absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Hines targets the head (65% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diniz
RND
Hines
0/0R00/0
Diniz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tanner BoserKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alvin HinesDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin TyburaUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Hines · Last 3
Upcoming
Gabriel LorencoUFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady · 2026-11
L · KO · R1
RJ HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Jhonata DinizDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06