METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Flyweight
VS
42%
Elliott
58%
Royval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Brandon RoyvalwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Tim Elliott · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Royval
→
Actual result
Royval wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 42% vs Royval at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Royval has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottRoyval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Elliott
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
53.4
38.8
Performance Avg
51.5
33
Quality of Victory
45
53
Momentum Score
65
Elliott
Royval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.8
Style: Volume
4.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Elliott
Royval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Elliott
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
65
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Elliott
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Royval
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ElliottRoyval
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRoyval
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0
Elliott · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Edgar ChairezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraSubmission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Royval · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Lone'er KavanaghSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02