METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Aldo
55%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jose AldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marlon Vera · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vera
→
Actual result
Aldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 45% vs Vera at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoVera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Aldo
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
54.6
53.6
Performance Avg
51.2
49
Quality of Victory
46
40
Momentum Score
52
Aldo
Vera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.0
6.9
Style: Volume
3.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Aldo
Vera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Aldo
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Aldo
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
AldoVera
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedVera
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Vera · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Charles JourdainKO/TKO
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03